TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x260b…aa9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT12555.2%69 W · 56 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.05
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.11
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$193.77
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$401
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$135.83
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$35.84
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.13
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+215.1%+$29.66
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104%+$47.76
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$25.09
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$14.8
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$15.58
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.96
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$12.03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.86
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+271.3%+$29.23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$3.31
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+195.7%+$37.05
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$5.45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$7.45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$10.69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$6.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$28.3
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$18.58
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$400.56
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$125.43
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$466.51
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.17
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+59%+$225.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$107.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$10.4
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$38.06
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.26
Will Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Romania win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$76.98
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.03
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44%+$6.44
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$128.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$20.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$5.52
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-77.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$9.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$75.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$4.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$8.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.