Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39b7594627412cc1986fa853466b165f332b988b5c4e082fd4c13752c10d295a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 31c | 1,094$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 46c | 593.61$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 246.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 24c | 201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 48c | 183.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 12c | 182.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 161.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 150.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 34c | 149.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 128.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 64c | 128.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 29c | 111.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 107$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 103.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 11c | 93.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 78.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 56c | 76.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 46c | 74.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 16c | 67.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 48c | 62.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 58c | 58.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 37c | 58.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 58.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 60c | 58.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 54c | 56.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 58c | 56.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 22c | 53.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked No | 60c | 51.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…55fbbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 46.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed Yes | 37c | 44.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 43c | 42.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 57c | 36.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…945ebacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 34.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed No | 65c | 34.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 51c | 32.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 80c | 31.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 64c | 30.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 42c | 29.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Yes | 46c | 29.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 48c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 76c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…f565backed Yes | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 48c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…aee7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 53c | 19.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 66c | 19.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 62c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 65c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.