TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf55f…8e92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16548.5%80 W · 85 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$5.75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$8.79
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$5.83
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$8.14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$6.19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.87
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+55%+$6.45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.96
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.5
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$4.67
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+60%+$6.98
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5.71
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+107.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$38.05
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.95
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+1,521%+$538.29
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+340.3%+$73.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.15
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$60.53
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.