Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4afe619b657bdb3f1fabf8b442f5fe468a1dd9aa145e0b02e1543ce12e9ac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed No | 45c | 563.1$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Yes | 68c | 433.8$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 402.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 402.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 332.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 288.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 283.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 67c | 242.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 33c | 240.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 32c | 203.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 165.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…8837backed Yes | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 68c | 140.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 66c | 130.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 31c | 127.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 67c | 117.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…c8ffbacked Yes | 66c | 105.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 65c | 81.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 67.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Yes | 59c | 66.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 68c | 63.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 66c | 57.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 33c | 50.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…6178backed Yes | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 33c | 37.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 33.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…0dc1backed Yes | 67c | 26.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…0954backed Yes | 67c | 23.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe42…b3b2backed Yes | 67c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 66c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Yes | 65c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…8c29backed Yes | 69c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 68c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…3b95backed Yes | 68c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC leading at halftime?this page
- Burnley FC leading at halftime?No won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.