Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135370886955cf6665f87b931caf4fa6414937f8ca2dfba45a88e5660153e946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 73c | 1,863$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.98 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 2c | 512.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 483.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 18c | 412.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 386.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.76 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 335.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 76c | 305.49$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 80c | 302.79$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 23c | 262.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 25c | 236.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 58c | 220.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 28c | 214$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 30c | 171.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 168$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 66c | 161$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 23c | 148.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 17c | 144.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 30c | 141.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 12c | 133.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 67c | 125.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 18c | 123.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 85 | 9.4%8 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 72c | 112.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 18c | 112.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 23c | 111.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…2e64backed No | 76c | 109.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 22c | 109.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 23c | 107.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 102$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 25c | 100.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 99.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 95.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed No | 77c | 95.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 30c | 90.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 81.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 25c | 81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 78.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 25c | 78.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c908backed Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 72.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 29c | 72.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 42c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 66.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…c967backed No | 78c | 63.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 75c | 63.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 24c | 61.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 67c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 27c | 58.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 51c | 54.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 23c | 53.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 22c | 53.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 21c | 52.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 37c | 52.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 76c | 52.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 72c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 25c | 51.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…b6fcbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 25c | 45.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 75c | 42.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 60c | 42.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 43c | 38.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 74c | 34.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 49c | 31.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…0ccdbacked Yes | 41c | 27.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 56c | 27.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39d3backed Yes | 41c | 26.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 77c | 26.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 51c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…97c4backed No | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…68d3backed No | 68c | 17.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…b997backed Yes | 67c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 14.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.