Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebdcda31dae9de00e9b60bb5347e770f8241db56fa31a1175d53cdda96ebbb02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,081$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.19 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 46c | 1,062$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.65 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 11c | 762.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 47c | 409.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 57c | 382.48$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 42c | 368.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 45c | 314.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 44c | 298.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 36c | 239.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 46c | 220.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 54c | 214$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 211.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 43c | 202$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 44c | 190.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 54c | 180.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 74c | 178.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 51c | 158$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 53c | 148.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 11c | 137.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf2…e987backed No | 56c | 129.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 44c | 125.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed No | 75c | 119.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 37c | 112.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 54c | 111.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 102$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 52c | 99.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 54c | 97.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 54c | 96.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 60c | 92.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 41c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 56c | 87.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 43c | 83.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 62c | 78.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 39c | 78.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 44c | 71.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 44c | 67.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 19c | 66.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 62c | 66.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed No | 44c | 64.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 57c | 54.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 57c | 54.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 53.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 54c | 52.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 45c | 51.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…b6fcbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 56c | 49.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 53c | 49.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 44c | 45.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 44.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 59c | 40.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed No | 61c | 39.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 57c | 39.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 35c | 35.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 56c | 35.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 63c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 62c | 33.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…0679backed No | 59c | 32.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 60c | 31.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 63c | 30.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 54c | 28.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 61c | 27.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed No | 59c | 27.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…4183backed No | 38c | 26.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 44c | 25.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 43c | 24.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 44c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 65c | 21.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…68d3backed No | 55c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…eba6backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…83b1backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Yes | 63c | 18.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.