TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe89e…7219

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7876.9%60 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.89
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35%+$4.15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.7
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$4.03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.82
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.84
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.9
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.69
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.88
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.81
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$30.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.