CS2 · resolved market
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x195c0db63fd42b55bc7b39487995872b028dc0e2a0d45ba6d8c7e39b0a39fdee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe111…685abacked Yes | 33c | 8,554$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.94 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…7266backed No | 66c | 6,785$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 43c | 6,674$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.09 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 32c | 5,432$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.23 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed No | 68c | 4,728$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.02 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,422$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.39 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked Yes | 56c | 3,384$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 36c | 3,339$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.34 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…62b7backed No | 70c | 3,289$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 66c | 3,161$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.6 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked No | 41c | 2,999$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.46 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 56c | 2,350$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.01 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked No | 60c | 2,317$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.87 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 65c | 2,187$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.83 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 37c | 2,182$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.43 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Yes | 58c | 2,138$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.45 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed No | 68c | 1,923$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.92 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed No | 45c | 1,881$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.74 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…5a51backed Yes | 36c | 1,800$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 47c | 1,787$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.54 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 38c | 1,753$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.52 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 54c | 1,682$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.46 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 1,571$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.21 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 37c | 1,547$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.48 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…ccb5backed Yes | 34c | 1,406$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 49c | 1,396$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Yes | 59c | 1,352$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 33c | 1,275$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.76 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed No | 40c | 1,262$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 62c | 1,259$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Yes | 34c | 1,165$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.3 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…14febacked Yes | 55c | 1,067$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 70c | 996$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed No | 70c | 990.18$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 57c | 984.99$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.95 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 43c | 979.04$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.99 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Yes | 34c | 882.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.38 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 48c | 867.42$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…675ebacked Yes | 28c | 865.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.91 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 62c | 799.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Yes | 56c | 785.37$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.56 | 270 | 56.3%152 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 46c | 742$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 32c | 684.23$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 44c | 635.21$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 631.33$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 34c | 615.47$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Yes | 60c | 589.92$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.27 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 30c | 586.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Yes | 29c | 565.86$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…21cebacked No | 67c | 522.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 42c | 450$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 425.89$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 425.04$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 34c | 405.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 362.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…7548backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed Yes | 60c | 340$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Yes | 30c | 334.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 322$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Yes | 40c | 305$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…b975backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 290$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…a386backed Yes | 33c | 270$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 34c | 254.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yes | 60c | 254.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…f4bcbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…0131backed Yes | 39c | 213.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…e315backed Yes | 34c | 201.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…bdf2backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Yes | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 44c | 186.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Yes | 34c | 184.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 32c | 180$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 66c | 168$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…a48ebacked Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 71c | 154.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 33c | 149.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…40aebacked Yes | 54c | 148.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Yes | 36c | 143.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 64c | 137.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 56c | 135$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…1b56backed Yes | 52c | 127.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…fe34backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked Yes | 32c | 123.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 59c | 121.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 41c | 121.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 67c | 119.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 40c | 116.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…b771backed Yes | 33c | 114.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 65c | 108.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?this page
- Will 9z win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will G2 win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Heroic win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will Magic win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will The Huns win PGL Astana 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Astana 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.