TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6eb…36fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$672
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.2
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$94.24
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$144.99
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$24.48
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.73
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$54
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.9
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.61
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.99
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$154.86
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.64
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$146.98
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+171.5%+$303.2
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$523.19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,814Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,505.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$554.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$539.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$30.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$609.27
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.76
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$418.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,391.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$238.34
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$616.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020.51
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$257.99
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$481.77
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,910Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$1,474.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.16
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$352.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$74.69
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$239.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$136.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$441.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$105.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$302.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.