Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ab9e3d506238a9a1a1f7f3448f5483645ab7ba16e1499929428b96ca27fd64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 11c | 40,933$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.46 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 10c | 18,618$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.58 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 10c | 8,067$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.34 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 12c | 7,775$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.89 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 8c | 3,700$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 11c | 1,750$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 7c | 1,608$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 14c | 1,467$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…bd01backed No | 10c | 1,201$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 5c | 1,176$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…5c8ebacked No | 11c | 1,130$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 5c | 1,092$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…5a75backed No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…e84dbacked No | 9c | 971.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 17c | 813.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 4c | 747.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 16c | 709.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 11c | 705.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 28c | 653.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.56 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40c…369bbacked No | 10c | 539.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 9c | 530$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…3970backed No | 9c | 528.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…ace9backed No | 10c | 508.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 10c | 478.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 15c | 457.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 9c | 452.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed No | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…a427backed No | 9c | 437.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed No | 12c | 432.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 16c | 409.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 406.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed No | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked No | 9c | 399.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked No | 12c | 394.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 9c | 382.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…d7ecbacked No | 11c | 366.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…1cfdbacked No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…dd13backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed No | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…b13abacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 44c | 283.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 11c | 277.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 10c | 255$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked No | 9c | 252.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 9c | 237.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…5f8fbacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…0ee9backed No | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed No | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked No | 10c | 155.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…c60dbacked No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 149.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked No | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…0037backed No | 10c | 139.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…e7c9backed No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…697dbacked No | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…77e1backed No | 11c | 127.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed No | 9c | 127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…8fffbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 13c | 118$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…7a8cbacked No | 11c | 117.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd557…416fbacked No | 9c | 112.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed No | 9c | 112.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked No | 16c | 110.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed No | 13c | 102.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…03cebacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…93c8backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…8626backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…ad0ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed No | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 12c | 88.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…c4c9backed No | 14c | 77.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 17c | 70.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.