TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ba3…8cb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT9758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$55.9
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.1
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.96
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$99
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$42.18
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$110.2
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$83.3
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102.6
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$234
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.2
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$23
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+111.3%+$142.2
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$73.96
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.15
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.15
Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.28
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$294.02
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.86
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.91
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$238.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$322.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$182.7
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+87.4%+$214.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$469.62
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+76.1%+$16.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$428.57
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$189.9
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100.08
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$708.73
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.67
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.4
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$96.18
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.12
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$420.58
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.38
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$38.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$39.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.83
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.6%+$100
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$151.8
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.9%+$107.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$312.39
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$988.4
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+608.7%+$502.45
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$101.2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$158.81
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$219.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$461.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.25
Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,043.92
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$477.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,609Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,941.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.7%+$304.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35%+$1,096.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.