TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c84,325$48,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,452.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over36c35,246$12,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,668.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c15,921$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.212,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over63c14,182$8,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,934.75669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c8,563$6,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under68c6,210$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c3,390$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over24c3,141$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.8936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over66c3,059$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03113843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under36c2,227$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.0212325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c2,014$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.762,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over50c2,007$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9913454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,949$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.23,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Over64c1,854$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.514235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over26c1,793$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over48c1,616$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.812,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c1,560$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.132,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under76c1,316$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.341,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under76c1,295$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.941,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over25c1,250$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.51,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c1,243$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.561,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under75c998.63$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over29c970.31$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3985851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Over25c900$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under57c893.22$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over46c875.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over69c840$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.1812266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under36c803.48$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.236238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over63c783.54$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.637058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c749.14$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.171,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe580…3554backed Over68c722.79$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Over24c625.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502711.1%3 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Over64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over46c539.37$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.051,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over38c527$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…cbb9backed Over69c500.88$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.162661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under78c432.38$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.181258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over25c400.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Over24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Over46c395.7$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829819.4%19 W · 79 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f65…0b1abacked Over64c395.31$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Over61c392.36$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under75c337$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.813,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Over24c308.63$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.073158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Over62c299.95$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9710359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over63c299.95$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.974235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under33c282$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.182,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Over27c255.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Over61c251.58$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.376142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc60…e67cbacked Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.514949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c246.56$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Over70c244.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9718436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under75c240.8$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Over70c214.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508055%44 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Over58c208.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2411537.4%43 W · 72 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28fa…7190backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337953.2%42 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over27c207.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5618040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over34c204.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.922,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over25c192.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.442,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c192$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.462,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d41…e3ddbacked Over64c187.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Over55c182.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd14f…d46dbacked Over70c169.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4b…abcbbacked Over60c168$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over61c166$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2622560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1bd…b053backed Under36c165.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.747552%39 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe63…5b56backed Over61c160.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over42c154.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0216149.7%80 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Over28c149.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272e…e55abacked Over64c139.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over37c128.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.482,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c122.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.631,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a93…f34cbacked Under70c119.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.556259.7%37 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Over27c114.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x776f…f672backed Over64c111.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.241040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under30c111$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b7…448bbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Under57c105.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2826133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298726.4%23 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c56…e756backed Over44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc283…d9e9backed Over64c101.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.