TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2393…d54dbacked Over10c27,542$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.717625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over14c15,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over12c14,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6804235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over14c12,487$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.451,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over17c7,995$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.2214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over17c5,874$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.598723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over11c5,699$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over13c5,499$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.8310518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Over10c5,265$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Over13c5,144$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.7790%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.78617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over14c3,804$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.522,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over13c3,494$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.2743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over11c2,675$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over15c2,614$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.033920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over15c2,407$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.872,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c2,196$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over15c2,067$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Over13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over12c1,992$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over10c1,900$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over8c1,629$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.981,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over14c1,600$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Over15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over13c1,499$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9143139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over10c1,359$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9537944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce3…cbecbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over16c928.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Over13c923.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202520%5 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over13c912.06$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.612,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over11c881.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1115920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f53…1a89backed Over8c809.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.43336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x856e…a0f9backed Over14c763.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.86130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over16c738.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11722919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over14c706.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9168141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae7…68d2backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over4c628.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d8…4873backed Over16c571.25$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Over18c556$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0818027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x267f…dd6bbacked Under78c510.08$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over16c509.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over7c480$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Over9c439.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408421.4%18 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over11c391.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.086418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over6c376.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.182,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb5…c269backed Over14c364.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over14c354.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.714235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542b…8b2ebacked Over13c310$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over16c306.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.983713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over13c300.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Over14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4217727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea06…47c9backed Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over11c290.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.979635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c6…3a06backed Over25c287.43$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.051533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c280.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over13c279.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.331,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ac…aacebacked Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f48…89dabacked Over11c276.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over13c269.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Over18c265$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8519118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over14c263.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.937022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over18c262$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc966…e142backed Over13c253.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over10c248.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8130836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over17c232.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Over11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508630.2%26 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Over17c227$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.478048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over13c225.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3728964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over14c207.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccee…3eedbacked Over17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…f247backed Over14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283528.6%10 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4415655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2636838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1e…0a03backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10722.8%2 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-96.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over17c193$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.641,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over20c187.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.