Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cc53d624f4831c0dd54087e70ee036590f7504ecd991094f0f36a591f4c9e3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 10c | 27,542$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.7 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Over | 12c | 14,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 14c | 12,487$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.45 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 17c | 7,995$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.22 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 17c | 5,874$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.59 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 11c | 5,699$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.89 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 13c | 5,499$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.83 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…c3aabacked Over | 10c | 5,265$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…e427backed Over | 13c | 5,144$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Over | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 14c | 3,804$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 13c | 3,494$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.27 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 11c | 2,675$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…3d69backed Over | 15c | 2,614$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.03 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 2,407$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 16c | 2,196$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 15c | 2,067$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Over | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 12c | 1,992$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 10c | 1,900$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 8c | 1,629$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 14c | 1,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Over | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 13c | 1,499$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 10c | 1,359$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Over | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…8429backed Over | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Over | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…cbecbacked Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 16c | 928.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Over | 13c | 923.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 13c | 912.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 11c | 881.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…1a89backed Over | 8c | 809.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…a0f9backed Over | 14c | 763.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 16c | 738.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…6f2bbacked Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 14c | 706.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…68d2backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 4c | 628.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…4873backed Over | 16c | 571.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Over | 18c | 556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267f…dd6bbacked Under | 78c | 510.08$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 16c | 509.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Over | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Over | 7c | 480$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Over | 9c | 439.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 11c | 391.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 6c | 376.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…c269backed Over | 14c | 364.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 14c | 354.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8b2ebacked Over | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 16c | 306.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 13c | 300.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…47c9backed Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 11c | 290.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…3a06backed Over | 25c | 287.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 14c | 280.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 13c | 279.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…aacebacked Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…89dabacked Over | 11c | 276.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Over | 18c | 265$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 14c | 263.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 18c | 262$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…e142backed Over | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 10c | 248.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 17c | 232.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Over | 17c | 227$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 13c | 225.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…5349backed Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…3eedbacked Over | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…f247backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…4747backed Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 17c | 193$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 20c | 187.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.