TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f53…1a89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+187.5%+$1,342.53
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+183.8%+$135.65
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.62
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.8
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$327.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$288.9
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$58.4
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.05
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$422.96
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.5
Korea Republic leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
South Africa leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.8
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$113.4
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$105.6
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.99
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.7
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.4
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajdabacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.75
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.8
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+673.5%+$949.96
Assche vs. Gaston: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.64
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.25
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,842Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,288.3
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$47.3
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$125.4
Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$209.1
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.3
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tampere: Andrej Nedic vs Tom Gentzschbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giuntabacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$59.28
Zug: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Bloomfield Hills: Andres Martin vs Dane Sweenybacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$46.93
Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Generali Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungellitibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Segovia: Alastair Gray vs Akira Santillanbacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valencia: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.