Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4a6f9dd31b1db51f6f8f21844a6a0264f92388c3b9a5990de984dbf90c51934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,324$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 1,152$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.21 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 59c | 929.98$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 38c | 683.56$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 659.07$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 646.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 65c | 528.91$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 380.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 56c | 357.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 66c | 317.61$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 64c | 312.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…8e9dbacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 309.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 48c | 266.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…1a89backed Over | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 68c | 204.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Under | 55c | 182.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…fc41backed Over | 64c | 156.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 45c | 150.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Under | 56c | 106.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 104.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Under | 39c | 103.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 50c | 98.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 37c | 95.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 55c | 87.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 37c | 69.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 78c | 63.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…b4eabacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…b882backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 56c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…492abacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…f231backed Under | 51c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd693…dc76backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…f637backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Lillestrøm SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.