Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719300336ca9497ba8228e2c75f19e2554e17d9b00a7c026364d977b80217dc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 12,355$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 36c | 5,570$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.2 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 50c | 1,808$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 30c | 1,760$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.62 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,675$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 41c | 1,408$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.41 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 549.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 548.84$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Over | 41c | 488.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Over | 43c | 395.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 30c | 320.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 54c | 203.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 59c | 169.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 61c | 165.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 67c | 148.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Under | 64c | 146.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 132.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 121.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 61c | 98.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 90.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 61c | 81.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 70c | 69.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 76c | 66.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 64c | 65.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Under | 76c | 64.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 62.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 50c | 61.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 58c | 60.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 59.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa09…ef0abacked Under | 61c | 54.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…74d3backed Over | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 43c | 48.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 25c | 41.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 35c | 37.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 61c | 26.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 25.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 63c | 19.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Lillestrøm SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.