TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c27…54f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$31.27
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$109.58
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$205.83
England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$229.75
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.6%+$197.13
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$61.42
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)backed Tromsø IL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.57
BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Vålerenga Fotball 1 - 1 Hamarkameratene?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$321.21
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)backed Vasteraas SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)backed Vasteraas SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+164.4%+$49.33
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)backed Malmo FF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Vålerenga Fotball 1 - 2 Aalesunds FK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.94
Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 FC St. Gallen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$30.49
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+263.1%+$184.15
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Exact Score: HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 1 Páfos FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed FC St. Gallen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.62
Exact Score: Derry City FC 1 - 0 PFK CSKA Sofia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 1 Kuopion PS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)backed Ulsan HD FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)backed Gangwon FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Exact Score: FC Seoul 2 - 1 Pohang Steelers FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$144.43
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)backed Portland Timbers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Los Angeles FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+246.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.