Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x384391fdf2cae4a394af256cb2b278082aa39e4ddfb7a3ad250e750a93b62cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 39c | 808.73$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e4e6backed Over | 62c | 807.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 330.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 38c | 269.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…65ccbacked Over | 63c | 189.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…2770backed Under | 49c | 102.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 58c | 86.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…bc30backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Over | 60c | 83.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…248ebacked Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 41c | 58.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…779dbacked Under | 49c | 51.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 57c | 46.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 61c | 32.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…dd67backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 40c | 26.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Over | 55c | 25.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3987backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Over | 57c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…d3b2backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- Norway vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.