Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1bb09652735a1b919877caca7cc8e3d63035149afc959c1214135b1976e25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.93 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 40c | 930.33$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.2 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Under | 60c | 448.67$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 44c | 424.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 44c | 229.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 200 | 25.5%51 W · 149 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 58c | 200.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 53c | 179.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 57c | 167.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 42c | 144.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 42c | 142.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Over | 42c | 139.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…6ae4backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 70.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…2c03backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 43c | 55.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 57c | 55.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…4b80backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…c93abacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a8…705abacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185e…b7a0backed Over | 43c | 40.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 47c | 40.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 58c | 38.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 40c | 36.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…0b14backed Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…7131backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…5b63backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 56c | 22.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- Norway vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.