Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8f4e8e5e5ba4d0dd7d9a86c7e487fc99472960f5ed74abf947c1384ff01915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3abd…855dbacked Over | 37c | 7,086$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 61c | 1,321$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 60c | 1,134$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.79 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 64c | 781$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 781$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 780.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Under | 69c | 719.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 67c | 296.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ca…5168backed Over | 35c | 289.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 42c | 259.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.86 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Over | 60c | 165.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 30c | 142.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…cd0ebacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed Over | 12c | 105.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…bf6bbacked Under | 72c | 104.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 101.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…c4eabacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…4a60backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Under | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 65c | 49.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 61c | 45.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 70c | 45.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…6dc4backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 65c | 39.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 32.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…f88ebacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 61c | 26.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: England O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- Norway vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.