TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1897…2a42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
451
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 404 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$345
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$307.14
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 404 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$60.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+254%+$81.29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$129.35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+555.6%+$111.11
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Cbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.24
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Kamonwan Yodpetchbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+261.7%+$55.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Viborg FF 1 - 1 Odense BK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.