TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof EDward Gaming, Nova Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked Nova Esports40c45,589$18,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,379.4912652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed EDward Gaming69c28,877$19,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,944.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming62c16,127$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,996.3424145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nova Esports31c7,022$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,845.176150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Nova Esports31c4,130$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.684047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa21c…1a43backed EDward Gaming62c3,066$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked EDward Gaming62c2,987$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.5755348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked EDward Gaming60c2,826$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.3552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed EDward Gaming66c2,558$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.9879650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked EDward Gaming72c2,312$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.023253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed Nova Esports31c2,222$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked EDward Gaming43c1,757$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.681,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked EDward Gaming62c1,615$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.292835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed EDward Gaming73c1,611$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.8239166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Nova Esports27c1,193$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.6214351%73 W · 70 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming63c891.51$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.2693649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nova Esports36c890.35$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9451344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nova Esports24c874.25$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.1125536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Nova Esports23c857.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.84271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked Nova Esports43c800$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Nova Esports33c750$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.53432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Nova Esports33c713.85$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.375532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming67c702.46$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.381,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked EDward Gaming73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001675%12 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked EDward Gaming68c658.72$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.011,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed EDward Gaming58c637.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.528347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed EDward Gaming58c633.82$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.673740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nova Esports39c603.54$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0675142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nova Esports37c588.43$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0157550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed EDward Gaming59c534.36$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6519648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Nova Esports52c522.2$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2910566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Nova Esports49c512.97$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.976867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Nova Esports39c509.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.621040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nova Esports33c503.63$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.870543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nova Esports42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed EDward Gaming64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32062156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked Nova Esports40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed EDward Gaming63c479.87$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.986732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…5b70backed Nova Esports42c468.08$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked EDward Gaming56c419.15$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.21,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed EDward Gaming74c403.93$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed EDward Gaming59c389.46$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4921457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked EDward Gaming65c358.59$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.261,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nova Esports39c350$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.553742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nova Esports46c345.34$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9311249.1%55 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked EDward Gaming61c329.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Nova Esports31c283.87$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.871250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+104.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc789…10fdbacked EDward Gaming64c279.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed EDward Gaming7c260$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.575414.8%8 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed EDward Gaming4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed EDward Gaming65c246.23$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.056930.4%21 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nova Esports29c217.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0381834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Nova Esports37c211.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9532152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked EDward Gaming76c205.06$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5421153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked EDward Gaming74c195.28$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.511127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed Nova Esports52c191.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.326041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed EDward Gaming60c189.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4411656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed EDward Gaming69c188.18$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports35c172.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6696945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Nova Esports40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked EDward Gaming61c169.02$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.312856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nova Esports37c159.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1578344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa17b…95cbbacked Nova Esports37c158.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.521266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked EDward Gaming72c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2539047.9%187 W · 203 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed EDward Gaming56c125.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed EDward Gaming60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7527146.9%127 W · 144 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Nova Esports40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Nova Esports42c107.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.763863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x928d…ca45backed Nova Esports40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed EDward Gaming15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed EDward Gaming63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634040%16 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed EDward Gaming67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.918460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…279cbacked EDward Gaming79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked EDward Gaming59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nova Esports41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.839350.9%200 W · 193 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Nova Esports43c94.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7840731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed EDward Gaming40c92.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Nova Esports33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9120546.8%96 W · 109 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…47dbbacked EDward Gaming28c90.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked EDward Gaming59c89.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nova Esports41c88.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3389344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40a…76fabacked EDward Gaming69c82.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed EDward Gaming64c80.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6815153%80 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Nova Esports38c78.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed Nova Esports30c74.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.372045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked EDward Gaming52c69.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.121942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f06…3e1bbacked Nova Esports58c69.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4f…bc8ebacked EDward Gaming60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Nova Esports40c60.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4112143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa5…51b6backed EDward Gaming61c58.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nova Esports44c58.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.855637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nova Esports31c56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.820138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked Nova Esports54c55.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2716452.4%86 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Nova Esports43c55.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nova Esports32c54.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2251849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f0…14fabacked Nova Esports32c53.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+91.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Nova Esports28c52.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8724140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked EDward Gaming67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54641.3%19 W · 27 L-8.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0a02…7563backed Nova Esports20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+143.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x888d…c45dbacked EDward Gaming60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.