TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof EDward Gaming, Nova Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked Nova Esports45c20,246$9,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,172.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed EDward Gaming67c14,992$10,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,015.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming65c13,111$8,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,522.1124145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Nova Esports35c5,018$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.74047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked EDward Gaming35c3,821$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.356150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Nova Esports49c3,138$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.8810566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed Nova Esports35c2,861$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.651136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked Nova Esports35c2,496$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.71050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Nova Esports35c2,143$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.679340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked EDward Gaming41c2,116$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8571,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked EDward Gaming57c1,862$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.342835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports51c1,706$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.241,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nova Esports26c1,645$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.7651344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Nova Esports46c1,569$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.6952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Nova Esports48c1,503$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.155348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked EDward Gaming69c1,470$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.883161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Nova Esports34c1,456$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.5527146.9%127 W · 144 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports46c1,368$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.0619648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21c…1a43backed EDward Gaming66c1,367$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Nova Esports35c1,314$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.0915042%63 W · 87 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed EDward Gaming64c1,173$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6625046.4%116 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports47c1,136$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.9679650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Nova Esports48c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.166250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming62c907.43$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.9593649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports51c817.68$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.481,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed EDward Gaming42c805.62$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0723836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked Nova Esports35c714.64$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.522958.6%17 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Nova Esports71c706.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.764271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a02…7563backed Nova Esports68c699.33$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+143.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Nova Esports26c670.52$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.523740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked EDward Gaming22c600$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.663658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked EDward Gaming65c560$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3664641.3%19 W · 27 L-8.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nova Esports35c553.14$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0763955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Nova Esports46c543.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3914351%73 W · 70 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8429…06ebbacked Nova Esports35c494.27$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked EDward Gaming45c493$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8510341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports38c471.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2296945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked EDward Gaming49c462.86$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.33132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed Nova Esports16c450$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.985414.8%8 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Nova Esports43c438.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.54949%24 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nova Esports33c400$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2970543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Nova Esports58c374.96$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.36867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked EDward Gaming45c365.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.661,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x928d…ca45backed EDward Gaming23c346.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.995226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed EDward Gaming25c334.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5362156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked EDward Gaming36c296.54$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.143432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked EDward Gaming45c255.49$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2631227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked EDward Gaming43c223.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.084751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked EDward Gaming49c220.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.811,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked EDward Gaming59c216.68$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3536138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked EDward Gaming66c214.58$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6212856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked EDward Gaming37c214.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Nova Esports34c213.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6525453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed EDward Gaming64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12853742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0238…81a5backed Nova Esports74c190.23$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40a…76fabacked EDward Gaming58c189.84$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.216352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Nova Esports42c170$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.66232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked EDward Gaming60c167.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed EDward Gaming57c162$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.348345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Nova Esports70c158.1$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4711656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed EDward Gaming28c149.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4914737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed EDward Gaming62c144$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8166638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed EDward Gaming65c138.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.549253.3%49 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nova Esports48c133.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.191,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked EDward Gaming65c130.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0112056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nova Esports34c124.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3185138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x779c…699ebacked EDward Gaming63c120$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Nova Esports23c120$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9318254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports31c113.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.411,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nova Esports44c112.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3281834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed EDward Gaming78c110.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.511764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…e7c1backed EDward Gaming30c110.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked EDward Gaming18c107$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.529314%13 W · 80 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed EDward Gaming80c106.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Nova Esports47c106.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2114443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6566…ea1ebacked EDward Gaming54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed EDward Gaming37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715160.3%91 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nova Esports49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.539350.9%200 W · 193 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Nova Esports64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364040%16 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xafe9…a55fbacked EDward Gaming38c99.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed EDward Gaming40c97.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.621,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked EDward Gaming39c97.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6578344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nova Esports66c97.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0251849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Nova Esports47c94.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bdf…3e2abacked Nova Esports51c90.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.012347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Nova Esports35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7120546.8%96 W · 109 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked EDward Gaming35c83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6627850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nova Esports61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7999945.9%459 W · 540 L-27.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Nova Esports59c80.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.273253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…10fdbacked EDward Gaming60c79.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Nova Esports67c77.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5715153%80 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed EDward Gaming67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed EDward Gaming28c73.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0d…8e47backed EDward Gaming70c71.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Nova Esports35c68.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.376552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Nova Esports45c66.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.669068.9%62 W · 28 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nova Esports20c65.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1539047.9%187 W · 203 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Nova Esports34c63.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.112143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed EDward Gaming48c62.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed EDward Gaming51c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5237545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.