TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6566…ea1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58%+$263.52
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.42
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.11
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.76
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.07
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$2,470.53
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$716.17
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+157.3%+$123.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.29
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.62
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.5
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.13
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.77
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO5) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked ARETE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.58
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Dbacked Ghools Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$24.34
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$131.19
Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+178.7%+$270.9
Will Kathy Hochul attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.42
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+304%+$60.2
Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will the announcers say "Shot" 15+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$78.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-71.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.26
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$29.71
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.98
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.34
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-63.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.