Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0843145a57623b60c1ea03157d0af4cd1c42863609eb0955f68b86d54d30d742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof All Gamers, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 13c | 3,100$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…ea1ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 4c | 1,458$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 15c | 1,356$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 7c | 1,270$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 14c | 1,100$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…25afbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 4c | 1,077$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 3c | 933.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…d277backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 13c | 499.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 3c | 371$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…c30abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 8c | 252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…17cfbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 8c | 225.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…8f3ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 11c | 202$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…7d1cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 14c | 164.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…e600backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 11c | 151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +263.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 9c | 148.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…488ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 16c | 144$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 13c | 142.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 13c | 136$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 11c | 116.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 9c | 113.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…6fb9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked All Gamers | 80c | 38.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.