TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe01f…ab4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT25444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 254 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.73
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.08
Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.24
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$217.88
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+79%+$131.16
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.7
Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.24
Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.56
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.37
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$88.2
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$703
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.9
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$425.33
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.8
Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked Crest Gaming Zst · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.34
Showing 25 of 254 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.