TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, MIBR LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$449,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$505,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked 100 Thieves48c49,586$23,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,719.3117948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MIBR LOS51c43,932$22,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,503.0724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves59c19,529$11,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,002.2652155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 100 Thieves67c18,516$12,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,184.956150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked MIBR LOS51c10,781$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked MIBR LOS48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR LOS33c9,342$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.0123644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MIBR LOS52c7,279$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.784740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves56c7,017$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.121,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed MIBR LOS43c6,798$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.1322344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR LOS47c6,430$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.0612951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves62c5,881$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.526650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed MIBR LOS52c5,699$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.482544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR LOS42c5,395$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.211,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves55c5,363$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.9553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked 100 Thieves50c4,800$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves62c4,569$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.8240945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked 100 Thieves51c4,488$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.245451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed MIBR LOS53c4,444$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.329844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed 100 Thieves46c4,351$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.2325554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR LOS32c4,168$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.8742140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR LOS34c4,033$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.4257151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked MIBR LOS51c3,931$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.093050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MIBR LOS50c3,601$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed MIBR LOS46c3,475$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.4518457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked MIBR LOS30c3,016$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves55c3,005$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.265559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed 100 Thieves49c2,981$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.3315038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves57c2,956$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.4168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR LOS22c2,919$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9381134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed MIBR LOS35c2,585$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed MIBR LOS37c2,536$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.419838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves58c2,531$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.4254751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked MIBR LOS35c2,523$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88921136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR LOS33c2,455$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.4674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked 100 Thieves46c2,432$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.438144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed MIBR LOS49c2,386$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.141931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR LOS33c2,351$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.2277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed MIBR LOS44c2,216$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.045058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves61c2,107$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.8794361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed MIBR LOS54c2,106$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.213046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked MIBR LOS52c2,080$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked 100 Thieves53c2,074$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9715431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed 100 Thieves48c2,060$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.2924946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves46c2,034$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.5386747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed MIBR LOS48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96022346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed 100 Thieves48c2,000$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04332245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed MIBR LOS53c1,937$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.963548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves54c1,917$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.0132462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked MIBR LOS53c1,836$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.5812155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed 100 Thieves78c1,802$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.917349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474c…6625backed MIBR LOS51c1,796$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.362740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked MIBR LOS37c1,696$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.3450944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed MIBR LOS34c1,687$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.0560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked MIBR LOS21c1,683$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502850%14 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+135.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked MIBR LOS34c1,682$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4430835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves49c1,639$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.877252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked MIBR LOS35c1,612$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5686931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed MIBR LOS36c1,557$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.2226932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed 100 Thieves79c1,522$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed MIBR LOS53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR LOS23c1,500$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1124250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed MIBR LOS43c1,468$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.5210946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed MIBR LOS16c1,432$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.086462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed MIBR LOS49c1,408$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.0319546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked MIBR LOS28c1,357$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed MIBR LOS54c1,268$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.9817640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves49c1,250$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed 100 Thieves80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked MIBR LOS52c1,200$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.993661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed MIBR LOS36c1,187$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6816144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves62c1,176$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3293049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves61c1,162$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6155637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves48c1,125$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.7593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked MIBR LOS51c1,022$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR LOS51c1,020$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.391,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 100 Thieves49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.25244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe3…eaafbacked 100 Thieves51c1,012$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.912650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked 100 Thieves62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3806250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves49c999.99$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51415358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed MIBR LOS36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked MIBR LOS46c986.18$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.649151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MIBR LOS29c963.11$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6146326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed MIBR LOS46c943.47$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.126354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc431…53ffbacked MIBR LOS23c907.96$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR LOS53c888$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked MIBR LOS53c868.2$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.151942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed MIBR LOS54c851.85$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked MIBR LOS46c851.27$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.3628743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed 100 Thieves47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves67c823.86$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9456357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5940…94c8backed MIBR LOS35c785.3$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MIBR LOS27c781.88$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3333838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed 100 Thieves49c776.82$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8726051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves74c767.41$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5314938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579c…ff45backed MIBR LOS51c763.65$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed MIBR LOS65c751.89$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.275455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves50c751$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR LOS40c708.75$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.021,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed 100 Thieves79c707.43$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.328852.3%46 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.