TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd888…3c9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT12155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$9,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,160.88
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+79%+$13,173.06
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$7,187.68
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$1,285.96
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,384.16
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22,906Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$13,622.93
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,872.09
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$256.68
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,071.29
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Dplus - Map 1 Winnerbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.82
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.43
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,997.3
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,229.78
Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.12
Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,395.29
Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.12
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,704.38
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14,870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26%+$3,867.13
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,802.03
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.58
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.13
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$1,253.87
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.29
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT8258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$38,270.06
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,056.04
Map Handicap: 9z (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$2,118.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$4,600.38
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$381.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$3,163.09
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$742.12
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,770.52
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.72
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$15,043.99
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,340.04
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$986
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$4,537.17
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,702.48
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40%+$207.69
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$1,808.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,828Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$3,668.77
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$4,273.14
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,907.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,689.87
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,371.67
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$1,319.65
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$3,463.89
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+159%+$6,727.7
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$11,002.18
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,412.96
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,517
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$3,255.96
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.91
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+169.4%+$4,890.28
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,311.01
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.22
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$6,210
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18,171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$13,100.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,898.12
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.02
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$846.37
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+172.9%+$1,707.57
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,133.12
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,401.85
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,210.89
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,865.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.72
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$14,285.2
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19,845Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$8,351.81
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$11,469.2
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winnerbacked Saigon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$8,184.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,906.24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$9,869.39
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,071.93
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,993.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.