Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b71fb19f5c984db0ed396c86f162b4032c80c00be3e9b8736481ad5a132d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof XLG Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked TEC Esports | 71c | 6,447$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.09 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked XLG Gaming | 62c | 1,136$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.24 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed XLG Gaming | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…4bc2backed XLG Gaming | 47c | 945.26$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 39c | 766.94$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 700$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.55 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed TEC Esports | 23c | 656.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed XLG Gaming | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed XLG Gaming | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 544.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 498.39$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed TEC Esports | 62c | 455.53$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked TEC Esports | 66c | 442$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TEC Esports | 45c | 408.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming | 40c | 389.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports | 38c | 363.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.82 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 351.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 320.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked TEC Esports | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 265.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 262.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…4ec9backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 244.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked TEC Esports | 19c | 232.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed TEC Esports | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed XLG Gaming | 66c | 219.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 216.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked XLG Gaming | 46c | 205.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed TEC Esports | 26c | 197.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…3e2abacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 194.95$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked XLG Gaming | 23c | 177.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 162.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 156.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed TEC Esports | 37c | 137.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TEC Esports | 51c | 133.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 123.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming | 63c | 122.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked XLG Gaming | 24c | 121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed TEC Esports | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed XLG Gaming | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 76.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked XLG Gaming | 60c | 70.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed TEC Esports | 33c | 66.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed TEC Esports | 43c | 62.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed TEC Esports | 65c | 61.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TEC Esports | 41c | 60.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked TEC Esports | 45c | 59.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 54.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 52.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed XLG Gaming | 39c | 51.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TEC Esports | 42c | 51.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed TEC Esports | 24c | 50.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 45.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 43.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked XLG Gaming | 74c | 40.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked XLG Gaming | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed XLG Gaming | 35c | 37.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…0d51backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 32.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…613dbacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f197backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked TEC Esports | 72c | 26.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…823bbacked XLG Gaming | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked XLG Gaming | 68c | 24.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 24.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed TEC Esports | 64c | 22.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…179abacked TEC Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs TEC Esports (+4.5)XLG Gaming won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs TEC Esports (+4.5)TEC Esports won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)TEC Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaTEC Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.