Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f8d5c455037dec89084e0b3542853ceb19895980a9c5615a8cb4fce5e7e60f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof XLG Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked TEC Esports | 43c | 13,683$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.21 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 9,652$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.45 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 733.33$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 600$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed TEC Esports | 43c | 558.1$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.75 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TEC Esports | 61c | 507.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 435.66$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 394.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed TEC Esports | 43c | 354.59$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 262.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 255$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TEC Esports | 47c | 220.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 179.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TEC Esports | 73c | 160.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 124.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TEC Esports | 43c | 117.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 102.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed XLG Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TEC Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed TEC Esports | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed TEC Esports | 44c | 99.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 99.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked TEC Esports | 39c | 90.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed TEC Esports | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked TEC Esports | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 62.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked TEC Esports | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 40.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 34.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 33.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed TEC Esports | 46c | 33.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc014…5ff4backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 27.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e94…5b9dbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 25.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 25.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1185…739ebacked TEC Esports | 44c | 23.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs TEC Esports (+4.5)XLG Gaming won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs TEC Esports (+4.5)TEC Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaTEC Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerTEC Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.