Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9a37888f8723b13980b9b74ddd7f275adffb6f9f9ac1d51bf35c089dc9cec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TEC Esports | 24c | 1,442$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 1,028$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.72 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed TEC Esports | 23c | 994.75$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked TEC Esports | 31c | 932.26$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 855.79$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TEC Esports | 13c | 605.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TEC Esports | 28c | 557.36$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 486.5$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed TEC Esports | 27c | 430.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 407.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 394.65$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…3e2abacked TEC Esports | 20c | 272.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked TEC Esports | 28c | 231.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed TEC Esports | 14c | 224.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked TEC Esports | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked TEC Esports | 14c | 199.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…1767backed TEC Esports | 20c | 174.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked TEC Esports | 16c | 172.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed TEC Esports | 30c | 168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 364 | 46.2%168 W · 196 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 158$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked TEC Esports | 29c | 134.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…b7b3backed XLG Gaming | 78c | 128.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 122.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed TEC Esports | 30c | 100.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…613dbacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 100.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 100.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 348 | 53.7%187 W · 161 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TEC Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 95.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed TEC Esports | 22c | 85.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed XLG Gaming | 79c | 82.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked TEC Esports | 24c | 80.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked XLG Gaming | 66c | 45.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…b1b1backed TEC Esports | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked TEC Esports | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 38.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 38.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…36cdbacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 33.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs TEC Esports (+4.5)XLG Gaming won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs TEC Esports (+4.5)TEC Esports won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)TEC Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaTEC Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.