TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec56…1ecb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT8434.5%29 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.27
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.49
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.73
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$543.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.45
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55.86
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.35
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.44
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.97
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78.55
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.27
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.84
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$46.04
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$70.27
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.62
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.64
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.19
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.94
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29.97
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.93
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.45
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.82
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+82%+$25.35
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+267.7%+$412.03
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.2
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolvesbacked Minnesota Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.71
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Chicago Bullsbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$722.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$780
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.