TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TEC Esportsof TEC Esports, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed TEC Esports41c24,444$10,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,421.9424145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Bilibili Gaming59c17,139$10,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,112.354751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Bilibili Gaming48c10,241$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.8612652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming25c5,285$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.591,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Bilibili Gaming50c4,263$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.212152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed TEC Esports56c4,233$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.4219648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked TEC Esports64c3,698$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.963253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming45c2,700$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.511,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Bilibili Gaming66c1,923$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.0111747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming63c1,827$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.4193049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked TEC Esports48c1,789$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.492737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TEC Esports41c1,613$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.8914938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports62c1,556$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.781,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Bilibili Gaming54c1,538$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.144759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed TEC Esports62c1,501$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.8639166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed TEC Esports55c1,456$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.5210566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TEC Esports55c1,452$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.0755348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Bilibili Gaming60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80028747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed TEC Esports40c1,151$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.425151%26 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Bilibili Gaming58c962.88$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.8151749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TEC Esports43c920.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.0944342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming59c888$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9255152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked TEC Esports56c753.17$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1931227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6277backed TEC Esports50c699.98$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.994557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TEC Esports53c676.61$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.851,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TEC Esports48c627.29$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1981134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed TEC Esports64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22517853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed TEC Esports43c502.06$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6446347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Bilibili Gaming59c499.93$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.76442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed TEC Esports48c491.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.539646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TEC Esports43c487.49$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.61,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed TEC Esports46c408.7$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.74949%24 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Bilibili Gaming56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.784247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TEC Esports67c398$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.531,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Bilibili Gaming55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed TEC Esports55c272.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3233838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Bilibili Gaming55c270$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.56553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked TEC Esports50c259$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9250944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TEC Esports49c255.01$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9279650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Bilibili Gaming57c253.59$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5553442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Bilibili Gaming66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed TEC Esports61c237.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed TEC Esports41c219.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7936145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed TEC Esports43c212.22$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.976048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Bilibili Gaming15c212$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TEC Esports49c206$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6677744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Bilibili Gaming59c202.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.323348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed TEC Esports43c201.65$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.946552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked TEC Esports41c198.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked TEC Esports43c198$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8621153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Bilibili Gaming59c188$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.926232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked TEC Esports60c185$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1620138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked TEC Esports48c184.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TEC Esports53c182.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.451,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8d…4b6fbacked TEC Esports55c181.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.747265.3%47 W · 25 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming49c171.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9465347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Bilibili Gaming59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1ecbbacked Bilibili Gaming41c153.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.643540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked TEC Esports65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.53828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Bilibili Gaming51c141.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Bilibili Gaming61c135$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed TEC Esports43c135$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.958052.5%42 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Bilibili Gaming30c127.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed Bilibili Gaming28c117.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.313447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Bilibili Gaming48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TEC Esports51c103.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4174642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed TEC Esports77c99.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.417254.2%39 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed TEC Esports51c98.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.823951.3%20 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed TEC Esports43c86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.223557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cd…cc1bbacked Bilibili Gaming60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bilibili Gaming59c78.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0937545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Bilibili Gaming59c62.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked TEC Esports54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69314%13 W · 80 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed TEC Esports37c57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8627847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming42c55.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.181,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Bilibili Gaming58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298444%37 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked TEC Esports34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.993432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed TEC Esports35c48.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.534450%22 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed TEC Esports42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6220547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7f…4b4abacked Bilibili Gaming32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked TEC Esports44c45.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2457151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d68…cd6abacked Bilibili Gaming67c44.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Bilibili Gaming68c44.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Bilibili Gaming55c43.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked TEC Esports46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4816452.4%86 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked TEC Esports56c42.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6590733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked Bilibili Gaming49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.097661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked TEC Esports65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed TEC Esports78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed TEC Esports52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.066560%39 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed TEC Esports54c36.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.751573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TEC Esports61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5338548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Bilibili Gaming57c34.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.998968.5%61 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked TEC Esports50c34.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9111149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x524a…4b1cbacked Bilibili Gaming56c30.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.17944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Bilibili Gaming59c28.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177156.3%40 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Bilibili Gaming55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed Bilibili Gaming50c25.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed TEC Esports65c25.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Bilibili Gaming59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.