TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd001…f718

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
604
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT28651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 286 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$4.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$8.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$14.61
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$16.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.18
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+62%+$108.25
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$317.92
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$91.67
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$5.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$7.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$9.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$10.76
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Showing 25 of 286 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT19553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 195 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$125.67
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$81.23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$64.36
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$27.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.66
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$109.18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.01
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$8.66
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$48.23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+130%+$24.87
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$13.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$8.57
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$8.88
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$8.54
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$5.23
Showing 25 of 195 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT8052.5%42 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$17.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$33.11
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$7.52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$18.79
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$8.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.28
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$76.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.57
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.31
Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92%+$23.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$45.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.18
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$100.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$23.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$7.41
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$50.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.17
Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$9.77
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$34.2
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$8.22
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$11.65
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$45.42
Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 2 Winnerbacked BALU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$11
Dota 2: Team AION vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$12.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$75.52
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.87
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$43.5
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$31.32
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$110.37
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.97
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.