TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$488,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed 100 Thieves51c115,091$58,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,530.025530.9%17 W · 38 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed G2 Esports47c77,670$36,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,365.9554851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed G2 Esports25c60,000$14,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,000.953956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked G2 Esports42c21,162$8,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,374.159051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports68c19,976$13,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,320.1619046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G2 Esports50c10,461$5,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.614643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed G2 Esports50c10,061$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.7811747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed G2 Esports44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+85.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves48c8,528$4,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,096.7840945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves75c6,320$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.81,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports56c3,605$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.1889344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves61c3,584$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.0553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed G2 Esports54c3,559$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.7810842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed G2 Esports59c2,750$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.56457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked G2 Esports49c2,747$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.925062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked G2 Esports56c2,210$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.5526650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed G2 Esports48c1,702$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.044858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Esports57c1,437$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3451849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves56c1,430$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.6965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed G2 Esports50c1,294$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed 100 Thieves75c1,281$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.9556551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves52c1,280$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.0415038%57 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves48c1,217$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.861,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed G2 Esports47c1,158$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.311,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports58c1,070$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports50c1,005$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed 100 Thieves28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803650%18 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked G2 Esports48c978$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked 100 Thieves29c917$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7410341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e59…262dbacked 100 Thieves75c910.15$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.61875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves60c887$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.4794361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac43…dcc3backed G2 Esports60c833.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed G2 Esports50c817.01$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.084037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed G2 Esports37c806.71$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.824143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked G2 Esports50c802.1$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.112856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves40c788.81$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.441,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Esports57c782.57$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.21,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed 100 Thieves49c750.24$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed 100 Thieves53c666.1$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.395251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed 100 Thieves76c647.1$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves48c614.68$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9856557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves52c605.39$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3751344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked 100 Thieves75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked 100 Thieves76c547$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.063050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed G2 Esports57c543.41$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.413345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked G2 Esports49c541.57$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.287047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7c…f44dbacked 100 Thieves19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed 100 Thieves43c525.58$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed 100 Thieves18c518.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.227534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Esports55c504.82$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.271,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked G2 Esports48c500.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.133863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed 100 Thieves40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves48c483.26$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8186747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed G2 Esports49c454.34$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.656256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed G2 Esports50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed G2 Esports48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6710664.2%68 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed 100 Thieves72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports48c409.42$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.741,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed G2 Esports48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked 100 Thieves36c389.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.173348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves56c384.13$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6175142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed 100 Thieves28c382.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7323836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed 100 Thieves54c380$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.26654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves66c352.05$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5878562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed 100 Thieves33c347.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2641835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked G2 Esports25c340$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554161%25 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed 100 Thieves54c312.58$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked G2 Esports48c310.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.31560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed G2 Esports56c309$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.961181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+57.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves50c298.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.278344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves50c294$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be5…4465backed G2 Esports56c283.35$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.671650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe3…eaafbacked 100 Thieves40c275.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves62c275$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7479650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves59c273.8$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1970543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports60c271.83$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x227a…de71backed 100 Thieves66c270.1$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.031957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked G2 Esports60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 Esports59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked 100 Thieves41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed 100 Thieves51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.521454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked G2 Esports59c247.07$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0714652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked G2 Esports50c246$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves59c242.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6355348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed 100 Thieves39c242$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.384346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed 100 Thieves42c239.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed G2 Esports68c226.9$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.923563.4%149 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…ef60backed 100 Thieves71c220$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 Esports64c219.35$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5239166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a12…a9a7backed G2 Esports48c212$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed G2 Esports49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked 100 Thieves24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473164.5%20 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked 100 Thieves75c196$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+83.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed G2 Esports36c193.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0511546.1%53 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves32c193.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b9…ad06backed 100 Thieves50c184.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.27254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves61c183.39$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5152050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed G2 Esports27c182.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.029253.3%49 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked 100 Thieves75c175.25$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.448634.9%30 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked G2 Esports49c171.21$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.324452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.