Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a260d3015b1af6ad7e2a1080079f3d774a31e8ba129c6a5a93165708d88e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 4,799$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.64 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked G2 Esports | 34c | 892.12$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports | 35c | 521.91$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed G2 Esports | 33c | 514.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked G2 Esports | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed G2 Esports | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed G2 Esports | 34c | 402.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports | 31c | 401.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked G2 Esports | 33c | 400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed G2 Esports | 35c | 343.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 281.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked G2 Esports | 33c | 266.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed G2 Esports | 34c | 183.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 166.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed G2 Esports | 34c | 147.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked G2 Esports | 32c | 142.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked G2 Esports | 33c | 129.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed G2 Esports | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked G2 Esports | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 83.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 70.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked G2 Esports | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed G2 Esports | 33c | 45.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.