TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$654,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$689,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed 100 Thieves72c228,499$163,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,858.665530.9%17 W · 38 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports28c157,134$43,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,692.3540945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed 100 Thieves39c51,218$20,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,027.6225855.4%143 W · 115 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed G2 Esports60c25,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002020%4 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed G2 Esports33c15,156$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+85.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed G2 Esports51c12,714$6,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,494.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 100 Thieves53c10,464$5,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.584643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed G2 Esports26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked G2 Esports62c9,600$5,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,952850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Esports27c9,368$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.6451849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b13…294cbacked G2 Esports41c8,089$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves61c7,495$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.6526650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed G2 Esports43c7,101$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042.922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b83…ef1dbacked 100 Thieves78c6,425$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed G2 Esports43c6,358$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.626038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Esports31c5,806$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.991,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed G2 Esports59c5,020$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.745246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35019046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked G2 Esports26c4,999$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.837443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked G2 Esports60c4,983$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9903751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports30c4,959$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.5153159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports26c4,608$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports31c4,575$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed 100 Thieves37c4,000$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.6232445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Esports19c3,910$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.971,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed G2 Esports36c3,853$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.3432462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked G2 Esports58c3,624$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.727338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed G2 Esports41c3,537$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.6515347.1%72 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953b…f747backed G2 Esports50c3,432$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.393450%17 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed G2 Esports62c3,348$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.761752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed 100 Thieves44c3,333$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.485151%26 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked G2 Esports50c3,248$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.666347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves43c3,089$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.8619960.3%120 W · 79 L+17.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed G2 Esports52c2,888$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed G2 Esports58c2,888$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.042657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves71c2,845$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.9951344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed G2 Esports31c2,669$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.2616547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed G2 Esports60c2,660$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5961225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 100 Thieves41c2,651$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.1435157.3%201 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed G2 Esports25c2,619$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.493650%18 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked 100 Thieves65c2,593$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.0328942.9%124 W · 165 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Esports26c2,585$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.6246526.7%124 W · 341 L-25.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked G2 Esports28c2,412$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.4178344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Esports26c2,224$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.8157550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Esports28c2,194$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.9475142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports61c2,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21063955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Esports30c1,990$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1270543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed 100 Thieves51c1,908$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.75650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked 100 Thieves55c1,843$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.244751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed G2 Esports52c1,840$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.011711.8%2 W · 15 L-6.0wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1447…4dcfbacked 100 Thieves60c1,827$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed G2 Esports49c1,727$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.993447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 100 Thieves42c1,650$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95742035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed 100 Thieves44c1,606$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.344156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked G2 Esports31c1,590$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed 100 Thieves58c1,575$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.756654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports57c1,561$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.4393248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked G2 Esports52c1,535$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.151963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed G2 Esports7c1,531$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G2 Esports30c1,516$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5415038%57 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports34c1,500$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5724250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G2 Esports27c1,485$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7856557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed 100 Thieves40c1,477$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.6444441.9%186 W · 258 L-22.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed G2 Esports21c1,442$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed G2 Esports19c1,438$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3640944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…dcc3backed 100 Thieves66c1,317$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked G2 Esports47c1,289$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves47c1,287$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.1725536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed17…6498backed G2 Esports16c1,251$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked G2 Esports58c1,232$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.3211458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Esports21c1,211$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5768949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed G2 Esports66c1,164$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.913633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed G2 Esports34c1,128$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.381921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked G2 Esports64c1,037$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.7211450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked G2 Esports58c999.98$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.126450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Esports27c988.97$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.346746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed 100 Thieves62c974.88$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0418056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed 100 Thieves47c964.15$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51126051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 Esports60c958.59$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5224551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked 100 Thieves66c913.79$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.791376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+75.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed G2 Esports23c901.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.561330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves43c900$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51018149.7%90 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed G2 Esports63c874.6$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G2 Esports30c857.65$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6994361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves64c841.29$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0293649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked G2 Esports57c839.56$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.554542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed 100 Thieves42c835.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.223537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Esports15c831.53$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.531,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed G2 Esports34c818.59$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.391,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Esports65c807.99$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.2717653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed G2 Esports55c773.76$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.326848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves35c765$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.2515358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked G2 Esports53c749.17$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed G2 Esports27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015042%63 W · 87 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed G2 Esports48c715.08$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Esports28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed 100 Thieves73c707.07$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9219546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked G2 Esports25c700$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked G2 Esports29c682.69$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.622123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed 100 Thieves72c655.95$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3833838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.