Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d68930f7a77fc8c162bedaedd287360621eb846aa4c56ec3864c5f533f5521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 48c | 6,165$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.09 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 52c | 3,882$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.7 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 992.83$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.88 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 52c | 816.13$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.73 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 46c | 751.83$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.99 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 48c | 645.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.45 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 506.35$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.3 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 46c | 501$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 467.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 51c | 243.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 57c | 208.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 25c | 203.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 46c | 202.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Under | 46c | 156.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…3d42backed Over | 54c | 151.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 122.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 69c | 84.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 59c | 79.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…12b2backed Over | 59c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…2074backed Under | 45c | 59.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 19c | 53.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 55c | 32.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 37c | 29.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 63c | 29.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Under | 57c | 26.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.