TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5109…5e9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
817
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 62 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT18033.3%60 W · 120 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.73
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,764.77
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+571.8%+$337.06
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+43.8%+$578.64
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,227.67
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17,617Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.2%+$9,016.85
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$351.68
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12,648.1
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$255.25
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$627.91
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.21
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+179.4%+$1,455.41
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.61
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,025.28
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.67
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.78
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.5
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.7%+$38.06
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$441
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+131.5%+$1,999.31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,368.5
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT17530.9%54 W · 121 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.86
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.73
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$275.5
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.47
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$43.61
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$46.6
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$6,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,184.71
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$670.84
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$7,719.09
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.92
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+516.6%+$1,793.48
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,830.32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+476.1%+$10,989.18
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+242.9%+$4,952.34
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT7225%18 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$336.3
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,890
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.32
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,298.73
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.34
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,737Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$2,426.88
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$112.45
Will there be no coalition by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+119.8%+$1,090
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,637.36
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,651.84
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,256.1
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+49.3%+$277.76
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$160
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+353.5%+$330.03
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$286.4
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$105.25
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+65.6%+$196.86
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$155.6
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,801Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+102.5%+$9,019.83
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5843.1%25 W · 33 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,273%+$834.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19,881Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$51,363.8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13,268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$34,092.44
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+386.6%+$8,824.02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$132.5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.79
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.63
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+319.3%+$974.01
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$715.71
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.25
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+374.6%+$519.08
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+178.2%+$675.59
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+271.6%+$1,555.17
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,506.2
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$242.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,312.8
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.48
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.35
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.86
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061.71
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$406.56
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+182.5%+$1,392.72
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+98%+$24.92
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,413.5
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,790.24
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,222.3
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.23
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$119.99
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$585.54
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,286.6
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.27
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will GPT-5 be released on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.79
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.54
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.15
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,117.64
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.77
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,888.97
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.65
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.07
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.55
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,597.93
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$28
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$462.62
Will The Devil Is Busy win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.86
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.06
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,785.96
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.94
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$125.46
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,990.99
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$975.75
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$764
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,965.46
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$945.11
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 65?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$52.9
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55 and 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$40.8
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 55?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$148.04
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$203.76
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,128.42
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,304.14
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.85
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,348.19
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.29
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$623.33
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$119.12
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,739.98
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.81
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$296.33
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+204.6%+$1,651.01
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$84.45
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+627.5%+$7,218.47
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+454.4%+$5,424.09
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.57
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,960.63
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.12
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,379.48
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,774Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$2,110.72
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.97
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.76
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,028.59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.97
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.29
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$184.37
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+164.4%+$1,742.03
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.44
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.81
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.78
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,660.25
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.41
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,348.58
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,812Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+133.8%+$11,795.08
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$271.31
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$710.24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,916.49
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.6%+$564.65
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Hennemann (-1.5) vs Bulgaru (+1.5)backed Bulgaru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$290.78
Set Handicap: Zidansek (-1.5) vs Ibragimova (+1.5)backed Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Set Handicap: Burel (-1.5) vs Abbagnato (+1.5)backed Abbagnato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.25
Set Handicap: Bronzetti (-1.5) vs Pistola (+1.5)backed Pistola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.64
Set Handicap: Tararudee (-1.5) vs Kovackova (+1.5)backed Kovackova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$577.7
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)backed Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$331.15
Set Handicap: Mazzola (-1.5) vs Spiteri (+1.5)backed Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$351.99
Set Handicap: Yaneva (-1.5) vs Urgesi (+1.5)backed Urgesi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$369.6
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Silva (+1.5)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$600.69
Set Handicap: Radivojevic (-1.5) vs Lansere (+1.5)backed Lansere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$621.3
Set Handicap: Podoroska (-1.5) vs Stusek (+1.5)backed Stusek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$588.3
Set Handicap: Chiesa (-1.5) vs Kabbaj (+1.5)backed Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$569.32
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Gjorcheska (+1.5)backed Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Set Handicap: Costoulas (-1.5) vs Aksu (+1.5)backed Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$527.62
Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Quevedo (+1.5)backed Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.72
Set Handicap: Parks (-1.5) vs Havlickova (+1.5)backed Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$158
Set Handicap: Lee (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)backed Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$376.7
Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Neumayer (+1.5)backed Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.52
Set Handicap: Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Torres (+1.5)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$622.5
Set Handicap: Pridankina (-1.5) vs Brand (+1.5)backed Brand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Seidel (+1.5)backed Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$193.06
Set Handicap: Avanesyan (-1.5) vs Lepchenko (+1.5)backed Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$343.75
Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)backed Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.98
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$438.44
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130.65
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+79%+$400.27
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$2,023.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,177.4
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.09
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430.71
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$1,557.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$8,002.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$241.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+249.7%+$711.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$1,035.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,152.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,744.69
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+237.3%+$2,798.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,529.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,050.03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,509.26
All 23 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+69.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$89.49
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.98
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+429.6%+$14,264.74
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23,790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$24,531.79
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,926Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+833%+$16,040.67
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$5.6
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.89
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$6,621.91
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,831Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$1,138.95
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$455.09
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108%+$2,866.48
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.45
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.15
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.32
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.34
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+34.5%+$539
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$802.97
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.99
All 19 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+82.5%+$1,769.74
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,149.64
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,613.63
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$710
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+137.3%+$78.75
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,513.27
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,145
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+83.5%+$645.49
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$787.17
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$263.01
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$738.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+143.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.82
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.67
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,466.24
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$707.9
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.9
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+868.6%+$4,112.29
Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.74
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+66.1%+$116.12
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$99.19
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$166
A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.06
Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+809.1%+$267
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,134.6%+$1,954.64
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.32
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13,853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$12,274.05
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$6,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,504.69
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$3,614.86
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,820.35
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,690.42
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$810
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,896.78
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.13
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+135.2%+$1,724.75
Big Game: Overtime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,132.31
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.61
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,264.9
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+1,119.8%+$3,723.24
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.91
Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+171.8%+$25.59
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+354.5%+$39
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$287.97
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,720.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$77.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,638Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$434.38
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$499
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$340
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$465
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+164.2%+$2,174.99
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,434Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$766
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,942Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+26%+$2,587.84
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.11
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$132.88
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$277.48
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46.83
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$976.73
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$964.41
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$672.82
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,951.65
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$937.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$698.48
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$4,355.55
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$256.75
Will Jenning De Boo (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$777.06
All 7 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-53.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-56.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+59.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.92
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$108
Royals vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+152.4%+$637.67
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$123
All 4 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.73
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.24
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+94.5%+$252.6
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56,536.37
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$517.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$85.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,664.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.