World Politics · resolved market
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcdc5f24786e4ea5279a4f859d8879cc08b98cfaa2924862947c65db0f010ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,628,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,668,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,628,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 49c | 77,353$37,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,683.66 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 70c | 56,143$39,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,393.17 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 62c | 43,060$26,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,643.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed No | 39c | 38,176$14,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,435.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…5d13backed No | 78c | 32,374$25,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,272.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…36c8backed No | 58c | 30,766$17,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,921.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…9f59backed Yes | 42c | 30,766$12,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,921.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 36c | 26,686$9,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,982.03 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 54c | 26,349$14,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,297.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes | 38c | 21,164$7,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,959.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 37c | 20,311$7,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,823.68 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 37c | 20,000$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,402.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed No | 20c | 19,015$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,294.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 41c | 18,298$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,469.98 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 17,465$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.5 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 57c | 17,183$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.93 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 73c | 16,407$11,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked No | 22c | 15,875$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,382.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 60c | 15,490$9,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…2fa4backed No | 80c | 15,297$12,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…a3d4backed Yes | 46c | 15,259$7,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,056.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked No | 62c | 15,258$9,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.51 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…5716backed Yes | 66c | 15,024$9,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,853.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 71c | 14,929$10,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,610.16 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 47c | 14,642$6,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.62 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked No | 78c | 14,601$11,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.31 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be4…e718backed No | 79c | 13,897$10,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 65c | 13,796$8,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,921.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…30c2backed Yes | 38c | 13,391$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 34c | 12,712$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.12 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 32c | 12,356$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.59 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked No | 74c | 12,174$8,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 46c | 11,987$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Yes | 26c | 11,741$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…230abacked No | 60c | 9,987$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…d734backed Yes | 38c | 9,986$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 22c | 9,325$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,315.91 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…3dc7backed Yes | 21c | 9,079$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 52c | 8,609$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 34c | 8,258$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…a3d8backed No | 59c | 8,192$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…5050backed Yes | 31c | 7,726$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed No | 77c | 7,614$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.84 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 43c | 7,588$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…a34bbacked Yes | 33c | 7,468$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…c901backed No | 61c | 7,434$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 38c | 7,396$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.96 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…6440backed Yes | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…f1a6backed Yes | 33c | 6,911$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…2380backed No | 73c | 6,734$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 76c | 6,702$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.62 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 66c | 6,650$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed No | 64c | 6,578$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +93%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 6,356$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.01 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed No | 69c | 6,160$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.58 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed Yes | 61c | 5,674$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.88 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed No | 35c | 5,602$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 48c | 5,500$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…353abacked Yes | 10c | 5,343$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…7773backed Yes | 65c | 5,308$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…5f5ebacked No | 45c | 5,208$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 63c | 5,001$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.47 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 73c | 4,863$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.18 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 62c | 4,833$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.51 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 36c | 4,700$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…e2abbacked Yes | 43c | 4,672$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +641.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed Yes | 30c | 4,512$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.18 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 23c | 4,432$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +328.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 65c | 4,364$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…d9cebacked Yes | 58c | 4,165$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 29c | 3,788$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.08 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…112fbacked Yes | 20c | 3,747$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 42c | 3,699$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.32 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…44f5backed Yes | 56c | 3,580$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0541…5ecfbacked Yes | 22c | 3,530$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…3322backed Yes | 49c | 3,366$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed Yes | 63c | 3,353$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed No | 80c | 3,341$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8a55backed Yes | 31c | 3,333$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…8e3ebacked Yes | 41c | 3,227$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 49c | 3,210$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.36 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052b…a204backed Yes | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 37c | 3,197$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.11 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,995$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked No | 66c | 2,963$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 43c | 2,947$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…43c0backed Yes | 25c | 2,902$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 64c | 2,900$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 26c | 2,857$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417a…9784backed Yes | 61c | 2,850$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 62c | 2,809$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.5 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 2,742$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 34c | 2,703$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.33 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…67c4backed Yes | 7c | 2,676$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed No | 79c | 2,641$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…82ffbacked No | 62c | 2,586$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,547$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 25c | 2,442$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.28 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.