TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60f7…050b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,136.41
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+152%+$554.53
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.63
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.04
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$550.87
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$2,813.45
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$2,976.43
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.43
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.42
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$227.2
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25.4%+$378.05
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,652.61
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$3,202.8
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+52.1%+$348.5
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$168.75
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+43.2%+$783.36
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.2%+$271.5
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$211.62
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$800.5
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,507.71
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,262Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$411.22
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$345.36
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,459Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$724.27
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$605.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$5,288.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$90.15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$244
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$494.13
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,674.58
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,686Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$543.81
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.72
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$345.54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5,013.46
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+133.1%+$243.24
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,817Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.4%+$1,133.91
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+444.3%+$1,857
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+86.8%+$325.61
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.39
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$110.69
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,442Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$431.77
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$387.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$407.22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,088.4
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.3%+$77.63
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,074Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+41.8%+$4,206.72
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$184.17
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$831.12
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$799.71
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$388.83
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,913Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$1,183.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.65
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$387.64
Will Venezuela make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Italy make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.82
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.64
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.51
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+27.8%+$174
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+36.9%+$386.97
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$174.07
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.44
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+195.5%+$159.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$240
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.4%+$830.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.3%+$86.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+62.2%+$347.24
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.25
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$468.29
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,517.59
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$222.15
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.92
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.76
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$414.17
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$86.4
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$53.46
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$403
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$154.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$212
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$292.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$73.72
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,729Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$594.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,873Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$2,432.57
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$209.15
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$192.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.78
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$249.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$89.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$576.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$201.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$263.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.