Us Politics · resolved market
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7f59ff239a1ee48639c75a64cc459980f04baf138381d5ec161d7e4a8c6ef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 11c | 11,748$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.64 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked No | 21c | 11,144$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 72c | 9,480$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 10c | 8,840$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.46 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 20c | 8,675$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 22c | 8,209$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.48 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 10c | 7,787$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.85 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked No | 22c | 7,614$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 18c | 7,532$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed No | 28c | 7,108$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 8c | 6,579$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.44 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 11c | 6,089$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.89 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 0c | 5,555$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 8c | 5,452$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.52 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 29c | 5,192$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 14c | 4,880$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.78 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 79c | 4,831$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.68 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 18c | 3,619$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.72 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…3d3dbacked No | 16c | 3,000$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 2,956$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 14c | 2,700$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.87 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed Yes | 74c | 2,258$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 2,177$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 12c | 2,158$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…2caebacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 10c | 1,613$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 7c | 1,592$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 10c | 1,502$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 24c | 1,452$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 12c | 1,350$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 1,117$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 9c | 1,074$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked No | 10c | 1,049$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 17c | 1,005$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 14c | 1,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 77c | 965.89$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 6c | 943.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 12c | 876.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 79c | 806.12$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 17c | 750.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…5c34backed No | 27c | 747.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d7bcbacked Yes | 74c | 679$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 660.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…e7a5backed No | 5c | 627.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 14c | 587.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…9ab8backed No | 8c | 549.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 534.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed Yes | 77c | 533.61$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…923fbacked Yes | 75c | 475.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…42e0backed Yes | 77c | 442.11$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 13c | 412$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…7a93backed Yes | 77c | 409.2$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdb…8e0fbacked Yes | 74c | 405.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed Yes | 79c | 404.9$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked No | 24c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…d87abacked Yes | 76c | 361.04$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed No | 4c | 335.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 25c | 315.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 4c | 313.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 4c | 304.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…5b84backed Yes | 76c | 299$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed No | 17c | 297.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 8c | 278.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 9c | 273.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…618fbacked Yes | 73c | 261.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed Yes | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 12c | 235$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…9feabacked No | 11c | 227.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1f07backed Yes | 73c | 203.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes | 76c | 201$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed Yes | 75c | 200.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ff2ebacked No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed No | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…1f60backed No | 25c | 188.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…acdfbacked Yes | 74c | 177.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 12c | 171.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 23c | 167.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 72c | 158.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Yes | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…9640backed Yes | 77c | 134.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 11c | 126.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…bc22backed Yes | 73c | 126.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 9c | 124.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…722dbacked Yes | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…4de3backed No | 27c | 112.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 40c | 105.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…d13fbacked No | 26c | 101.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed No | 29c | 99.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 84.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…9cabbacked Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…c24cbacked Yes | 79c | 66.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.