TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72a1…b63d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.81
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$59.62
Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28.13
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,091Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.2%+$3,015.78
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,196.92
Will the government shutdown end November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.88
Will the government shutdown end November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.11
Will the government shutdown end November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27.41
Will the government shutdown end November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$87.2
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will the government shutdown end November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$93.04
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$607.01
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+30.4%+$17.14
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$82.76
Will Prince Andrew be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$17.09
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.28
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$77.15
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$907.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,604.28
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+489.1%+$1,966.9
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$309.67
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195.47
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.64
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.95
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.64
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.3%+$44.4
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$16.74
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100.7%+$30.1
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,413.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$413.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$50.55
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$204
Will Trump call Putin “strong” on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140.46
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.9
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.98
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$115.34
Tech Release Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$385.96
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.41
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$83.93
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$86.97
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$625.68
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$387.38
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38.72
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+104%+$289.87
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$145.58
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$176.99
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+284.1%+$547.08
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$189.96
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.86
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$126.38
Grokipedia released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.36
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+41.2%+$708.57
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,702.7
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$221.83
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.93
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,534.35
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+71.3%+$2,222.46
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,024
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.97
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$244.15
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+40.2%+$1,739.62
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$79.85
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+547.6%+$75.57
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,026Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+76.3%+$3,072.5
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69%+$374.96
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48.77
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,039
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+468.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+525%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+113.6%+$47.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.