Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabfe4b75aeb100158ba487d9954241ab5327aef72410430f6861d328931cb745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,356,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,383,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,356,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Yes | 29c | 89,656$26,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,035 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 69c | 50,471$34,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,681.98 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 20c | 44,363$8,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,673.66 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…ea5dbacked No | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 20c | 25,001$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.28 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 25,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…a40cbacked Yes | 1c | 23,148$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…b28dbacked No | 70c | 21,572$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 20c | 20,905$4,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 35c | 20,000$6,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,951.49 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 19,612$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.45 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 14,700$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.68 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 75c | 13,131$9,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.68 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 66c | 12,829$8,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.87 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 23c | 12,597$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.66 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…15e4backed No | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…f20cbacked Yes | 40c | 12,458$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…5d11backed Yes | 10c | 11,303$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 73c | 11,006$8,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 11c | 10,945$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…747abacked Yes | 8c | 10,821$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,244$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…4612backed Yes | 4c | 9,995$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 10c | 9,107$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,008$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…8545backed Yes | 6c | 8,353$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 71c | 8,018$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.56 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 70c | 7,999$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.81 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 7,644$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 75c | 7,273$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.11 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 75c | 7,019$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.44 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 12c | 6,159$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.57 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…6e90backed Yes | 0c | 5,840$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,722$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 14c | 5,420$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.43 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…46ebbacked Yes | 10c | 5,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c4a8backed Yes | 11c | 4,894$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 74c | 4,431$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.03 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 72c | 4,300$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.09 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…265dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,126$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…d36fbacked Yes | 25c | 4,069$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes | 0c | 4,008$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 72c | 3,800$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.25 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 31c | 3,767$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.65 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 0c | 3,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…02d8backed Yes | 2c | 3,608$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 76c | 3,500$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 4c | 3,490$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 58c | 3,329$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.17 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…d1ffbacked Yes | 3c | 3,012$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…a8b6backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…8585backed Yes | 0c | 2,696$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 70c | 2,424$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.32 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 72c | 2,405$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.95 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 11c | 2,377$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,280$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 74c | 2,222$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…b391backed No | 71c | 2,201$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 2,179$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,053$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.79 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…a02abacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,979$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d7…4422backed Yes | 8c | 1,930$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…0d97backed Yes | 5c | 1,722$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…2966backed Yes | 45c | 1,453$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,393$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 6c | 1,329$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 15c | 1,307$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 66c | 1,150$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.85 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 25c | 1,096$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…40b9backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…f1a8backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…3e80backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 7c | 999.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…fa8bbacked Yes | 2c | 985.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 935.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…c093backed Yes | 1c | 926.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 6c | 909.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e4…a584backed No | 66c | 903.45$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 71c | 901.93$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.42 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 2c | 880.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…f569backed Yes | 17c | 878.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked No | 79c | 853.8$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed No | 55c | 724.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b4…262ebacked Yes | 4c | 690$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…0ecebacked Yes | 2c | 689.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.