Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba754eb908695cd6657a97629807d8f157e5b27382573baf05b196ff1ad6c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,087,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,360,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,087,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Yes | 2c | 717,180$15,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,237.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…60bbbacked Yes | 26c | 185,578$49,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,036.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…b089backed Yes | 12c | 163,920$19,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,395.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 77c | 128,020$98,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,867.31 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes | 1c | 101,302$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 76c | 68,399$52,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,311.02 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 10c | 60,179$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.6 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…110dbacked Yes | 1c | 50,028$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 22c | 46,116$10,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,265.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 79c | 45,510$36,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,344.99 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Yes | 43c | 44,666$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…7dc4backed Yes | 9c | 39,938$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 78c | 35,756$27,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,939.92 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…f8e3backed Yes | 14c | 29,188$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 6c | 25,218$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Yes | 19c | 24,046$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…d36fbacked Yes | 51c | 21,462$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 21,159$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.76 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 21c | 21,012$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.96 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 1c | 20,817$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.53 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 11c | 20,502$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,965$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.06 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 59c | 18,882$11,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,736.32 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 18,823$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 37c | 17,501$6,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,451.26 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 12c | 16,810$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.55 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 71c | 16,774$11,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,876.94 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 10c | 16,722$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.62 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 16,210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…1420backed Yes | 19c | 14,602$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 25c | 13,125$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.4 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Yes | 0c | 12,215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…bd4dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,643$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 22c | 11,177$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.19 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 17c | 11,073$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.65 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…dcd8backed No | 67c | 10,900$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 73c | 10,004$7,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,312.97 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.69 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked No | 46c | 9,999$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.68 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 68c | 9,940$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.21 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed No | 28c | 8,571$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,171.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 10c | 8,567$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.67 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked Yes | 24c | 8,200$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 51cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 14c | 7,700$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…b54dbacked No | 70c | 7,152$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 66c | 6,910$4,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.01 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2803…fb43backed Yes | 15c | 6,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed No | 76c | 6,702$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.41 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 53c | 6,583$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…dd82backed Yes | 35c | 6,583$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 14c | 6,455$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 11c | 6,408$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…3949backed Yes | 12c | 6,359$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…e051backed Yes | 1c | 6,312$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 48c | 6,287$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a91…3c5ebacked No | 34c | 6,261$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…824bbacked Yes | 75c | 6,216$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 2c | 5,982$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 72c | 5,862$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 63c | 5,700$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…03f9backed Yes | 30c | 5,694$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…8ce5backed Yes | 23c | 5,631$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…91dbbacked Yes | 20c | 5,561$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 77c | 5,557$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…bcb9backed Yes | 2c | 5,520$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…7acbbacked Yes | 14c | 5,503$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed No | 66c | 5,479$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…92f5backed No | 70c | 5,470$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Yes | 18c | 5,410$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 15c | 5,263$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 5,050$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 5,006$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.32 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 61c | 5,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 19c | 4,943$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.57 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,935$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…29cbbacked No | 41c | 4,861$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 49c | 4,850$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.28 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…70b0backed Yes | 12c | 4,831$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2eb…0ecabacked Yes | 17c | 4,732$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 17c | 4,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.04 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 67c | 4,365$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…2dffbacked Yes | 43c | 4,090$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…efa0backed Yes | 6c | 4,059$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…4aebbacked Yes | 4c | 4,031$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 17c | 4,016$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.61 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ecd4backed Yes | 3c | 3,990$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…5430backed Yes | 8c | 3,813$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 11c | 3,621$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,584$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.09 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…e4dabacked Yes | 4c | 3,566$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 63c | 3,457$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 13c | 3,333$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…10f7backed Yes | 65c | 3,332$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 20c | 2,946$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…a319backed Yes | 2c | 2,946$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.