Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78b85c6a7a86506caab07300b63d550ee4b7dfc2448a5f282b1d46a9e47a8802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $998,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,119,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $998,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Yes | 15c | 77,445$11,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,442.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 17c | 34,650$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.58 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 26,400$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.09 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…feebbacked Yes | 14c | 25,742$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 15,554$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 1c | 13,881$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.22 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 1c | 12,409$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 7c | 10,001$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.41 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d8…86aabacked Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…1c57backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,893$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,858$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 9,506$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,499$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed No | 77c | 8,804$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 8,164$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…46ebbacked Yes | 7c | 7,477$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…ae41backed Yes | 1c | 6,350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…d375backed Yes | 19c | 5,549$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…de60backed Yes | 2c | 5,116$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 0c | 4,352$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…29afbacked Yes | 4c | 4,136$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…ea5dbacked No | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 15c | 3,911$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.1 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 14c | 3,776$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.16 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,768$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.48 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 23c | 3,759$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…de35backed Yes | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 4c | 3,500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…e27bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,231$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…4259backed Yes | 4c | 3,218$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 10c | 3,140$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d7…2d0abacked Yes | 11c | 3,092$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 4c | 3,015$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,772$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,671$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…6c07backed Yes | 4c | 2,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 23c | 1,506$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…71b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,496$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 13c | 1,316$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 1,302$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…4414backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 15c | 1,224$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…039cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,106$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…1c5fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…a274backed Yes | 2c | 1,080$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,008$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…b0d2backed No | 76c | 999.44$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…fb3bbacked Yes | 15c | 881.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…3afebacked Yes | 4c | 846.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 78c | 780$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3544…f21bbacked No | 77c | 769.78$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 14c | 740.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e269backed Yes | 11c | 719.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 634.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…e3edbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…6e3cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b024backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…1c56backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 419.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…e105backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x609a…a4d7backed Yes | 12c | 400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b3…7d36backed Yes | 4c | 384.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…befdbacked Yes | 26c | 335.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c575backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…8c07backed Yes | 6c | 309.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…8cc8backed Yes | 24c | 291$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…a52dbacked Yes | 8c | 276.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…4852backed Yes | 9c | 268.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…b8b7backed Yes | 8c | 265.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…b377backed Yes | 5c | 233.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf3…ad2bbacked Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e1…f631backed Yes | 5c | 221$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…4f65backed Yes | 5c | 212.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…3788backed Yes | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…5e9abacked Yes | 25c | 209$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…3126backed Yes | 5c | 208.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…ba7dbacked Yes | 5c | 205.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c204backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…0621backed Yes | 18c | 172$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…d685backed Yes | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…2d50backed No | 79c | 163.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 12c | 161.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…072cbacked No | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…9b5cbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8863…797abacked Yes | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.