Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea2fa73663e915ef7fbf84e4beccd57a4a8f3d670b48fb2bcc5a618fa97d401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,610,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,506,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,610,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 14c | 115,885$16,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,594.25 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 24c | 74,337$18,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,012.4 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 75c | 46,898$34,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,905.72 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 19c | 45,107$8,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,443.72 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 19c | 35,297$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710.1 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed No | 69c | 31,240$21,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,547.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 6c | 30,395$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.67 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed No | 70c | 30,000$20,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,076.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 25c | 29,764$7,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 22c | 28,068$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,129.76 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 2c | 20,664$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.26 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 4c | 20,023$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.25 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…ea15backed Yes | 13c | 17,839$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed Yes | 0c | 17,662$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 16,700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 18c | 16,172$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.85 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…2a7fbacked Yes | 8c | 14,520$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 24c | 14,284$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.46 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 10c | 14,120$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.74 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0234backed Yes | 2c | 12,583$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 36c | 12,454$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 12,015$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 32c | 11,606$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.6 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 11,494$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 54c | 11,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 6c | 10,876$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.35 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…fb0dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,397$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 60c | 10,000$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…d1c4backed Yes | 10c | 9,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 32c | 9,368$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…5d65backed Yes | 27c | 8,987$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 27c | 8,235$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.78 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 63c | 8,134$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,921$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…7dc4backed Yes | 28c | 7,722$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 19c | 7,479$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 14c | 7,254$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.94 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 2c | 6,526$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…dcd8backed No | 48c | 5,900$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…7240backed No | 54c | 5,508$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 8c | 5,300$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.02 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Yes | 2c | 5,081$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…e9c7backed Yes | 7c | 4,788$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…5692backed Yes | 2c | 4,642$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…6790backed Yes | 2c | 4,567$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,518$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.66 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 14c | 4,446$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…1279backed No | 76c | 4,316$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 12c | 4,050$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 78c | 4,046$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…bd0dbacked Yes | 25c | 4,011$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,964$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.15 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,835$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.28 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,230$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.86 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…8de3backed Yes | 17c | 3,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 20c | 3,005$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.06 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db5…70f9backed Yes | 23c | 2,861$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…4eb6backed Yes | 27c | 2,838$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,799$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1730…0885backed No | 73c | 2,731$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…cb0cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,650$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…1f07backed Yes | 21c | 2,610$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…a60bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,538$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Yes | 1c | 2,487$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…1a5bbacked No | 80c | 2,463$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed No | 80c | 2,313$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,306$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,226$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.97 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 30c | 2,164$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.96 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 2,135$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…d74cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,063$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 49c | 2,050$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.9 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 69c | 2,045$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…bce3backed Yes | 5c | 1,900$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 1,900$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 15c | 1,736$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed No | 47c | 1,701$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.75 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…b5f4backed Yes | 1c | 1,695$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,546.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,685$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…8ff2backed Yes | 6c | 1,646$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed No | 74c | 1,627$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…4437backed Yes | 3c | 1,560$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Yes | 20c | 1,507$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed No | 59c | 1,500$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 2c | 1,475$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,473$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,444$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…7251backed Yes | 2c | 1,403$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 78c | 1,400$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…81e0backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…331bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,390$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 65c | 1,362$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.28 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…85a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,353$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…5ce0backed No | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c49…2eeabacked Yes | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 12c | 1,190$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,181$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…7a87backed Yes | 24c | 1,157$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.