TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee50…7ed6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 70 out of 100 (+0.18 per pick).

Best Category AI at 70 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10,650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+1,825.9%+$194,458.1
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11,853.91
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30,265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12,980.08
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+268.1%+$1,226.36
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17,219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.5%+$4,393.25
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$613,587Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.8%+$483,545.99
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+647.7%+$6,343.76
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27,865Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+164.3%+$45,776.27
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14,738Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+233.4%+$34,398.82
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,781Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+431.8%+$20,641.94
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45,342Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+130.6%+$59,199.63
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$171,612Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.2%+$87,795.34
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,723Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78%+$12,263.49
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91,095Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.5%+$40,530.98
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.3%+$23,958.43
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114,030Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$58,273.16
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,080.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$9,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,036.62
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,800.08
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,543.56
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,800
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$1,100
Spread: Liberty (-10.5)backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
All 6 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$2,000
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47,659Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+127.9%+$60,952.69
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$325
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$47,564.65
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,200
Hurricanes vs. Sharksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+37%+$2,700
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8,200
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52,639Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+67%+$35,267.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,660.52
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$3,800
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$2,200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70,531.29
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20,924Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$9,076.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+77%+$4,349.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,728Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$4,872.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$71.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,985Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$1,124.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$358.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11,799.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.