World Politics · resolved market
Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3f16833da29147328052669c1351c2b0b3af6a1a6d923965bad6ff9357b7e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6608…be04backed Yes | 2c | 6,063$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 2c | 2,518$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…171cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,412$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,891$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,593$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…b131backed Yes | 8c | 1,496$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,304$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,195$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,089$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…adc1backed Yes | 17c | 1,085$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 885$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 26c | 864.2$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 9c | 821.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…273fbacked Yes | 6c | 730.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…7961backed Yes | 16c | 709.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 12c | 696.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…8ea6backed Yes | 4c | 693.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 12c | 690.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…6ad6backed Yes | 2c | 641.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 13c | 601.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…3c6ebacked Yes | 22c | 601.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…5d65backed Yes | 8c | 548.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 10c | 502.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 11c | 494.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c291backed Yes | 5c | 488.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 16c | 483.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…fbecbacked Yes | 23c | 430.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…60ecbacked Yes | 4c | 418.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b4…eae4backed Yes | 28c | 359.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 13c | 323.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Yes | 10c | 314.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Yes | 23c | 310.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…5f53backed Yes | 5c | 291.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7d…79cebacked Yes | 35c | 288.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 267.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Yes | 10c | 215.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 21c | 202$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 12c | 198$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4598backed Yes | 13c | 194.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Yes | 11c | 187.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…885abacked Yes | 21c | 186.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked Yes | 12c | 170.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…0a6ebacked Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…1341backed Yes | 12c | 152$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…26d5backed Yes | 18c | 146.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 29c | 141.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 11c | 119.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 9c | 113.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 105.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 12c | 100.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Yes | 23c | 85.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…77ecbacked Yes | 20c | 74.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 15c | 66.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…b426backed Yes | 18c | 60.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…9e78backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…20c0backed Yes | 39c | 51.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 79c | 46.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?this page
- Will Abakar Ahamat win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Akere Muna win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Chris Fomunyoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Franck Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Joshua Osih win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes won
- Will Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
- Will Tomaïno Ndam Njoya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.