TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f37…1410

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,045
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 57 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT84930.6%260 W · 589 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 849 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$21.02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.69
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.12
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$33.82
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+178.7%+$80.15
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$58.42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+264.9%+$227.93
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.9
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$18.83
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$20.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.91
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$119.55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$85.68
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35%+$113.42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40%+$285.9
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$116.08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$121.37
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 849 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$347
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.73
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.49
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+194.6%+$44.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+980.8%+$217.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$52.43
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.03
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$341.55
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.9
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+547.7%+$567.91
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.06
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.17
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.79
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.68
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+54%+$153.41
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.16
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST3026.7%8 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$83.36
Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$61.77
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,902.5%+$951.49
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.11
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+380.8%+$1,346.4
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.21
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.22
Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.21
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$21
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+66.9%+$79.22
Will Andrew Cuomo win Brooklyn in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.4
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.96
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.98
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.97
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$573
Trump Travel Ban Before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.11
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.94
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+199.3%+$159.8
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.28
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548.19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.74
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.2%+$43.7
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.49
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.88
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+189%+$54.72
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.99
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.05
Will Syria hold national elections before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$75.17
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.65
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+118.3%+$162.6
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.08
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.85
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.79
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$73.07
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$181.98
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$137.43
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.39
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+78.6%+$20.68
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$199.95
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+95.2%+$64.87
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$392.19
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20.3
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.55
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.7
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$37.93
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$1,305.4
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$584.99
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.5
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,142.71
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$128.86
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.16
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$21.89
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$562.7
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$98.34
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$101.72
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$129.99
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+276.3%+$586.47
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$53.28
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.69
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.4
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.27
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.26
Will Trump visit Russia before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.03
Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$10
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.77
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$35.39
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.19
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.7
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$148.5
England-Mexico game rescheduled to a different date?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.41
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.22
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$147
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-84.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.17
Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.41
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36.35
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$113.91
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$205.68
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19.71
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+71.6%+$862
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,718.98
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.65
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$183.53
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$248.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+203.6%+$128.59
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,328Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$1,662.15
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-72.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick12cpaid+356.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+366.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+366.1%+$259.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: c0kistas vs R2 Esports Club (BO1) - Aorus League LATAM Group Abacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raphael Collignon vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.